NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)
Information Technology · $64.6B market cap · SEC CIK 0001413447
ahead of 86% of the S&P 500 · #12 of 73 in Information Technology
Next reports on Feb 1, 2027, after the close, with analysts expecting $4.44 in earnings per share.
52-week range $183.00 to $339.95. 23% below its 52-week high and 43% above its low.
The case for NXPI
- Cheap for its growth: 20.0× earnings, where 21% a year of growth plus a 2.0% dividend would justify about 42×.
- Earns 29% back on shareholder equity.
- Generated $2.4B of free cash flow in FY2025, 20% of revenue.
- 23% of revenue drops through to net profit.
- Revenue growing 14.6% year over year.
- Earnings per share up 57.2%.
The case against
- Swings harder than the market (beta 1.89).
- Its weakest area is stability (40/100): beta 1.89, 3.9 years of cash flow to clear its debt, a 46% swing over the year.
What the score is made of
Each factor is half a curve over reported figures and half a rank among the other Information Technology companies (momentum is judged against fixed thresholds only), and the five are blended by weight. The score is where that blend places it in the S&P 500. It describes the last filing and the current price. It is not a forecast.
| Valuewhat you pay for the earnings and cash, against the growth you get | 81 |
|---|---|
| Growthhow fast revenue and earnings are moving, this year and over five | 70 |
| Profitabilityhow much of the revenue becomes profit, and how much of that is cash | 68 |
| Momentumhow the price has behaved lately | 65 |
| Stabilityhow violently it moves, what it owes and what it pays you | 40 |
- Each factor except momentum is half fixed thresholds, half rank among the 73 Information Technology companies.
The financials
Revenue growth
Is the business growing? Yes
| Last 12 months | +14.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 5 years | +7.3% a year |
| FY2025 revenue | $12.3B (−3%) |
Free cash flow
Is it generating real cash? Yes, plenty
| FY2025 free cash flow | $2.4B |
|---|---|
| Of revenue | 20% |
| Of profit | 120% |
Profit margins
Is profitability improving? Yes, improving
| Gross margin | 57% |
|---|---|
| Operating margin | 33% |
| Net margin, FY24 → FY25 → now | 19.9% → 16.5% → 23.4% |
Debt vs. cash
Is the balance sheet healthy? Mostly, with some debt to carry
| Cash | $3.3B |
|---|---|
| Long-term debt | $11.0B |
| Net debt | $7.7B |
| Years to repay | 3.9 yrs |
Valuation
Is the stock price reasonable? Yes, it looks cheap
| P/E | 20.0× |
|---|---|
| Fair P/E for its growth | 42× |
| P/FCF | 26.7× |
| Forward P/E | 14.6× |
| EV / EBITDA | 15.3× |
At 20.0× earnings it trades well below the 42× that 21% a year of growth plus a 2.0% dividend would justify. At 26.7× free cash flow it trades below that same mark.
The financials, five years deep
Pulled from NXP Semiconductors's XBRL filings on SEC EDGAR. Italic rows are worked out from the others.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | |||||
| Revenue | $12.3B | $12.6B | $13.3B | $13.2B | $11.1B |
| Change on the year | −3% | −5% | +1% | +19% | — |
| Free cash flow | |||||
| Free cash flow | $2.4B | $2.1B | $2.7B | $2.8B | $2.3B |
| Of revenue | 20% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 21% |
| Profit margins | |||||
| Gross margin | 54.7% | 56.4% | 56.9% | 56.9% | 54.8% |
| Operating margin | 24.8% | 27.1% | 27.6% | 28.8% | 23.3% |
| Net margin | 16.5% | 19.9% | 21.1% | 21.1% | 16.9% |
| Debt vs. cash | |||||
| Cash | $3.3B | $3.3B | $3.9B | $3.8B | $2.8B |
| Long-term debt | $11.0B | $10.4B | $10.2B | $11.3B | $10.7B |
| Net cash (debt) | −$7.7B | −$7.1B | −$6.3B | −$7.4B | −$7.8B |
What NXP Semiconductors says it does
Company Overview NXP Semiconductors N.V. is a global semiconductor company and a long-standing supplier in the industry, with over 70 years of innovation and operating history. For the year ended December 31, 2025, we generated revenue of $12,269 million, compared to $12,614 million for the year ended December 31, 2024. We provide leading solutions that leverage our combined portfolio of intellectual property, deep application knowledge, process technology and manufacturing expertise in the domains of embedded processing, mixed-signal analog-digital (mixed A/D), power management, digital signal processing, cryptography-security, high-speed interface, radio frequency (RF), and embedded system design. Our product solutions are used in a wide range of end market applications including: automotive, industrial & Internet of Things (IoT), mobile, and communication infrastructure. We engage with leading global companies and sell products in…
Risk factors NXPI lists in its 10-K
- The semiconductor industry is highly cyclical
- Significantly increased volatility and instability and unfavorable economic conditions may adversely affect our business
- The semiconductor industry is highly competitive. If we fail to introduce new technologies and products in a timely manner, this could adversely affect our business
- The demand for our products depends to a significant degree on the demand for our customers’ end products
- The semiconductor industry is historically characterized by continued price erosion, especially after a product has been on the market
- In many of the market segments in which we compete, we depend on winning selection processes, and failure to be selected could adversely affect our business in those market segments
- Our global business operations expose us to international business risks that could adversely affect our business
- Recently announced and future tariffs and other trade restrictions could materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations
- Goodwill and other identifiable intangible assets represent a significant portion of our total assets, and we may never realize the full value of our intangible assets
- In difficult market conditions, our high fixed costs combined with low revenue may negatively affect our results of operations
- We may from time to time restructure parts of our organization. Any such restructuring may impact customer satisfaction, and the costs of implementation may be difficult to predict
- Our working capital needs are difficult to predict
- Our business may be adversely affected by costs relating to product defects, and we could be faced with product liability and warranty claims
- We face risks related to security vulnerabilities in our products
- Our business has suffered, and could in the future suffer, from manufacturing problems
- Disruptions in our relationships with any one of our key customers could adversely affect our business
- We receive subsidies and grants in certain countries, and a reduction in the amount of governmental funding available to us or demands for repayment could increase our costs and affect our results of operations
- We may engage in acquisitions and other strategic transactions or make investments, or be unable to consummate planned strategic acquisitions, which could adversely affect our results of operations
- As our business is global, we need to comply with laws and regulations in countries across the world
- Our manufacturing operations are subject to environmental laws and regulations and initiatives to address climate change
- Interruptions in our information technology systems could adversely affect our business
- Our computer systems and networks are subject to attempted security breaches and other cybersecurity incidents, which, if successful, could adversely impact our business
- We rely to a significant extent on proprietary intellectual property. We may not be able to protect this intellectual property against improper use by our competitors or others
- We may become party to intellectual property claims or litigation that could cause us to incur substantial costs, pay substantial damages or prohibit us from selling our products
- Loss of our key management and other personnel, or an inability to attract such management and other personnel, could affect our business
- United States civil liabilities may not be enforceable against us
- We are a Dutch public company with limited liability. The rights of our stockholders may be different from the rights of stockholders governed by the laws of U.S. jurisdictions
- Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance
- Our debt obligations expose us to risks that could adversely affect our financial condition, which could adversely affect our results of operations
- If we do not comply with the covenants in our debt agreements or fail to generate sufficient cash to service and repay our debt, it could adversely affect our operating results and our financial condition
- The rating of our debt by major rating agencies may further improve or deteriorate, which could affect our additional borrowing capacity and financing costs
- The price of our common stock historically has been volatile. The price of our common stock may fluctuate significantly
- We may have fluctuations in the amount and frequency of our stock repurchases
- There can be no assurance that we will continue to declare cash dividends
- The impact of a negative performance of financial markets and demographic trends on our defined benefit pension liabilities and costs cannot be predicted
- Future changes to Dutch, U.S. and other foreign tax laws could adversely affect us
- We are exposed to a number of different tax uncertainties, which could have an impact on our results