M&T Bank (MTB)
Financials · $31.6B market cap · SEC CIK 0000036270
ahead of 82% of the S&P 500 · #17 of 76 in Financials
Next reports on Jan 19, 2027, after the close, with analysts expecting $5.04 in earnings per share.
52-week range $179.75 to $255.95. 14% below its 52-week high and 23% above its low.
The case for MTB
- Cheap for its growth: 10.5× earnings, where 10% a year of growth plus a 4.1% dividend would justify about 29×.
- 31% of revenue drops through to net profit.
- Pays a 4.1% dividend while you wait.
- Trades at 1.11× book value, close to what the balance sheet says it owns.
- Moves less than the market (beta 0.66).
The case against
- Weakest against its peers: return on equity of 11% is lower than 77% of Financials companies.
- Its weakest area is the price trend (51/100): +19.8% over a year, −11.3% over three months, 14% below its 52-week high.
What the score is made of
Each factor is half a curve over reported figures and half a rank among the other Financials companies (momentum is judged against fixed thresholds only), and the five are blended by weight. The score is where that blend places it in the S&P 500. It describes the last filing and the current price. It is not a forecast.
| Valuewhat you pay for the earnings and cash, against the growth you get | 76 |
|---|---|
| Growthhow fast revenue and earnings are moving, this year and over five | 54 |
| Profitabilityhow much of the revenue becomes profit, and how much of that is cash | 67 |
| Momentumhow the price has behaved lately | 51 |
| Stabilityhow violently it moves, what it owes and what it pays you | 82 |
- Its one-year revenue change (+86%) is far out of line with its five-year trend (+8% a year). In the Financials sector that is usually interest income swinging with rates rather than growth, so only the five-year figure is used.
- Its debt and cash flow are not scored, as for every company in the Financials sector: for banks, insurers and brokers, borrowing is the business.
- Each factor except momentum is half fixed thresholds, half rank among the 76 Financials companies.
The financials
Revenue growth
Is the business growing? Yes
| Last 12 months | +86.2%* |
|---|---|
| Over 5 years | +8.4% a year |
| FY2025 revenue | $9.7B (+4%) |
Free cash flow
Is it generating real cash? Not meaningful for a financial company
Profit margins
Is profitability improving? Yes, improving
| Gross margin | n/a |
|---|---|
| Operating margin | 41% |
| Net margin, FY24 → FY25 | 27.9% → 29.4% |
Debt vs. cash
Is the balance sheet healthy? Not judged for a financial company
| Cash | $18.8B |
|---|---|
| Long-term debt | $10.9B |
| Net cash | $7.9B |
Valuation
Is the stock price reasonable? Yes, it looks cheap
| P/E | 10.5× |
|---|---|
| Fair P/E for its growth | 29× |
| Price / book | 1.11× |
| Fair P/B for its ROE | 1.1× |
| Forward P/E | 10.6× |
At 10.5× earnings it trades well below the 29× that 10% a year of growth plus a 4.1% dividend would justify. At 1.11× book it trades close to the 1.1× that its 11% return on equity would justify; for a financial company that counts for more than earnings.
The financials, five years deep
Pulled from M&T Bank's XBRL filings on SEC EDGAR. Italic rows are worked out from the others.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | |||||
| Revenue | $9.7B | $9.3B | $9.6B | $8.2B | $6.0B |
| Change on the year | +4% | −4% | +18% | +36% | — |
| Free cash flow | |||||
| Free cash flow | — | — | $3.6B | $4.4B | $2.6B |
| Of revenue | — | — | 38% | 53% | 43% |
| Profit margins | |||||
| Net margin | 29.4% | 27.9% | 28.4% | 24.4% | 31.0% |
| Debt vs. cash | |||||
| Cash | $18.8B | $20.8B | $29.8B | $26.5B | $1.3B |
| Long-term debt | $10.9B | $12.6B | $8.2B | $4.0B | $3.5B |
| Net cash (debt) | $7.9B | $8.2B | $21.6B | $22.5B | −$2.1B |
What M&T Bank says it does
M&T is a New York business corporation that has elected to be treated as an FHC under the BHCA and is a BHC under Article III-A of the New York Banking Law. M&T was incorporated in November 1969. At December 31, 2025, M&T had two wholly-owned bank subsidiaries: M&T Bank and Wilmington Trust, N.A. The banks collectively offer a wide range of retail and commercial banking, wealth management, trust and institutional services to their customers. The Company had consolidated total assets of $213.5 billion, deposits of $166.9 billion and shareholders’ equity of $29.2 billion at December 31, 2025. The principal executive offices of M&T and M&T Bank are located in Buffalo, New York. M&T Bank is a banking corporation that is incorporated under the laws of the State of New York. M&T Bank is a member of the Federal Reserve System and the FHLB System, and its deposits are insured by the FDIC through its DIF up to applicable limits. M&T acquired…
Risk factors MTB lists in its 10-K
- Weakness in the economy, or fluctuations in market factors, has adversely affected the Company in the past and may adversely affect the Company in the future
- The Company is routinely subject to examinations from various governmental taxing authorities that may result in challenges to the Company’s tax return treatment
- The Company’s business and performance is vulnerable to the impact of volatility in debt and equity markets
- The Company’s regional concentrations expose it to adverse economic conditions in its primary retail banking office footprint
- The Company is subject to extensive government regulation and supervision and this regulatory environment can be and has been significantly impacted by financial regulatory reform initiatives
- The Company may be subject to more stringent capital and liquidity requirements
- If an orderly liquidation of a systemically important BHC or non-bank financial company were triggered, M&T could face assessments for the OLF
- Deteriorating credit quality could adversely impact the Company
- The Company may be adversely affected by the soundness of other financial institutions
- The Company must maintain adequate sources of funding and liquidity
- If the Company is unable to maintain or grow its deposits, it may be subject to paying higher funding costs
- M&T relies on dividends from its subsidiaries for its liquidity
- The financial services industry is highly competitive and creates competitive pressures that could adversely affect the Company’s revenue and profitability
- Difficulties in obtaining regulatory approval for acquisitions and in combining the operations of acquired entities with the Company’s own operations may prevent M&T from achieving expected benefits from acquisitions
- The Company could suffer if it fails to attract and retain skilled personnel
- The Company is subject to operational risk which could adversely affect the Company’s business and reputation and create material legal and financial exposure
- The Company’s information systems may experience interruptions or breaches in security, such as cyber attacks, including due to events beyond the Company’s control
- The Company could incur higher costs, experience lower revenue, and suffer reputational damage in the event of the theft, loss or misuse of information, including due to a cyber attack
- M&T relies on other companies to provide key components of the Company’s business infrastructure
- The development and use of AI, including by third parties, presents risks and challenges that may adversely impact M&T
- The Company’s reported financial condition and results of operations depend on management’s selection of accounting methods and require management to make estimates about matters that are uncertain
- The Company’s models used for business planning purposes could perform poorly or provide inadequate information
- The Company's reputation may be harmed, which could negatively impact investor and customer confidence
- The Company’s framework for managing risks may not be effective
- Pandemics, acts of war or terrorism and other adverse external events could significantly impact the Company’s business
- The Company’s assets, communities, operations, reputation and customers could be adversely affected by the impacts of climate-related risk