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Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)

Consumer Discretionary · $45.2B market cap · SEC CIK 0001058090

$35.92 ▲+0.50% on the day close of Nov 10, 2026
81 Screens strongly
ahead of 81% of the S&P 500 · #15 of 48 in Consumer Discretionary

Next reports on Feb 1, 2027, after the close, with analysts expecting $0.25 in earnings per share.

52-week range $27.31 to $41.42. 13% below its 52-week high and 32% above its low.

The case for CMG

The case against

What the score is made of

Each factor is half a curve over reported figures and half a rank among the other Consumer Discretionary companies (momentum is judged against fixed thresholds only), and the five are blended by weight. The score is where that blend places it in the S&P 500. It describes the last filing and the current price. It is not a forecast.

Valuewhat you pay for the earnings and cash, against the growth you get60
Growthhow fast revenue and earnings are moving, this year and over five59
Profitabilityhow much of the revenue becomes profit, and how much of that is cash65
Momentumhow the price has behaved lately62
Stabilityhow violently it moves, what it owes and what it pays you86

The financials

Revenue growth

Is the business growing? Slowly

Last 12 months+7.9%
Over 5 years+14.8% a year
FY2025 revenue$11.9B (+5%)

Free cash flow

Is it generating real cash? Yes

FY2025 free cash flow$1.4B
Of revenue12%
Of profit94%

Profit margins

Is profitability improving? No, slipping

Gross margin29%
Operating margin14%
Net margin, FY24 → FY25 → now13.6% → 12.9% → 10.8%

Debt vs. cash

Is the balance sheet healthy? Yes, more cash than debt

Cash$351M
Long-term debt$0
Net cash$351M
Years to repay0.0 yrs

Valuation

Is the stock price reasonable? Yes, about fair

P/E32.8×
Fair P/E for its growth37×
P/FCF31.2×
Forward P/E32.9×
EV / EBITDA20.4×

At 32.8× earnings it trades close to the 37× that 19% a year of growth would justify. At 31.2× free cash flow it trades below that same mark.

The financials, five years deep

Pulled from Chipotle Mexican Grill's XBRL filings on SEC EDGAR. Italic rows are worked out from the others.

FY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022FY2021
Revenue growth
Revenue$11.9B$11.3B$9.9B$8.6B$7.5B
Change on the year+5%+15%+14%+14%—
Free cash flow
Free cash flow$1.4B$1.5B$1.2B$844M$840M
Of revenue12%13%12%10%11%
Profit margins
Operating margin16.2%16.9%15.8%13.4%10.7%
Net margin12.9%13.6%12.4%10.4%8.7%
Debt vs. cash
Cash$351M$749M$561M$384M$815M
Long-term debt$0$0$0$0$0
Net cash (debt)$351M$749M$561M$384M$815M

What Chipotle Mexican Grill says it does

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., a Delaware corporation, together with its subsidiaries (“Chipotle,” “we,” “us,” or “our”) owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants, which feature a relevant menu of burritos, burrito bowls (a burrito without the tortilla), quesadillas, tacos, and salads. We strive to cultivate a better world by serving responsibly sourced, classically cooked, real food with wholesome ingredients and without artificial colors, flavors or preservatives. We are passionate about providing a great guest experience and making our food more accessible to everyone while continuing to be a brand with a demonstrated purpose. Our first Chipotle restaurant opened in Denver, Colorado in 1993. Over 30 years later, our devotion to seeking out high-quality ingredients, raised with respect for animals, farmers, and the environment, remains at the core of our commitment to Food with Integrity. As of December 31, 2025, we owned…

Risk factors CMG lists in its 10-K

Filings

Open CMG in the deck

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