Lowe's (LOW)
Consumer Discretionary · $129B market cap · SEC CIK 0000060667
ahead of 23% of the S&P 500 · #38 of 48 in Consumer Discretionary
Next reports on Nov 18, 2026, before the open, with analysts expecting $2.91 in earnings per share.
52-week range $178.45 to $293.06. 21% below its 52-week high and 30% above its low.
The case for LOW
- Revenue growing 8.2% year over year.
- Earns 12% a year on everything it owns (return on assets).
- Moves less than the market (beta 0.79).
- Pays a modest 2.2% dividend.
The case against
- Revenue has shrunk 0.8% a year over five years.
- Owes more than it owns: shareholder equity is −$9.9B, usually the result of buybacks funded with debt. ROE and price-to-book mean little here.
- Long-term debt of $39.8B against $982M of cash.
What the score is made of
Each factor is half a curve over reported figures and half a rank among the other Consumer Discretionary companies (momentum is judged against fixed thresholds only), and the five are blended by weight. The score is where that blend places it in the S&P 500. It describes the last filing and the current price. It is not a forecast.
| Valuewhat you pay for the earnings and cash, against the growth you get | 56 |
|---|---|
| Growthhow fast revenue and earnings are moving, this year and over five | 25 |
| Profitabilityhow much of the revenue becomes profit, and how much of that is cash | 49 |
| Momentumhow the price has behaved lately | 52 |
| Stabilityhow violently it moves, what it owes and what it pays you | 44 |
- Shareholder equity is negative, so return on equity, price-to-book and debt-to-equity are left out.
- Each factor except momentum is half fixed thresholds, half rank among the 48 Consumer Discretionary companies.
The financials
Revenue growth
Is the business growing? Yes
| Last 12 months | +8.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 5 years | −0.8% a year |
| FY2025 revenue | $86.3B (+3%) |
Free cash flow
Is it generating real cash? Yes
| FY2025 free cash flow | $7.7B |
|---|---|
| Of revenue | 9% |
| Of profit | 115% |
Profit margins
Is profitability improving? Holding steady
| Gross margin | 33% |
|---|---|
| Operating margin | 11% |
| Net margin, FY24 → FY25 → now | 8.3% → 7.7% → 7.3% |
Debt vs. cash
Is the balance sheet healthy? Stretched
| Cash | $982M |
|---|---|
| Long-term debt | $39.8B |
| Net debt | $38.8B |
| Years to repay | 4.0 yrs |
Valuation
Is the stock price reasonable? Yes, about fair
| P/E | 19.4× |
|---|---|
| Fair P/E for its growth | 19× |
| P/FCF | 16.8× |
| Forward P/E | 16.4× |
| EV / EBITDA | 13.1× |
At 19.4× earnings it trades close to the 19× that 5% a year of growth plus a 2.2% dividend would justify. At 16.8× free cash flow it trades close to that same mark.
The financials, five years deep
Pulled from Lowe's's XBRL filings on SEC EDGAR. Italic rows are worked out from the others.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | |||||
| Revenue | $86.3B | $83.7B | $86.4B | $97.1B | $96.3B |
| Change on the year | +3% | −3% | −11% | +1% | — |
| Free cash flow | |||||
| Free cash flow | $7.7B | $7.7B | $6.2B | $6.8B | $8.3B |
| Of revenue | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 9% |
| Profit margins | |||||
| Gross margin | 33.5% | 33.3% | 33.4% | 33.2% | 33.3% |
| Operating margin | 11.8% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 12.6% |
| Net margin | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% |
| Debt vs. cash | |||||
| Cash | $982M | $1.8B | $921M | $1.3B | $1.1B |
| Long-term debt | $39.8B | $35.3B | $35.8B | $33.3B | $24.3B |
| Net cash (debt) | −$38.8B | −$33.6B | −$34.8B | −$31.9B | −$23.2B |
What Lowe's says it does
Information Lowe’s Companies, Inc. and subsidiaries (the Company or Lowe’s) is a Fortune ® 100 company and the world’s second largest home improvement retailer. As of January 30, 2026, Lowe’s operated 1,759 home improvement stores and outlets in the United States, representing approximately 196 million square feet of retail selling space. In addition, Lowe’s operated over 540 branch locations in the United States and Canada, which include our current year acquisitions of Foundation Building Materials (FBM) and Artisan Design Group (ADG). Lowe’s was founded in 1921 with the opening of its first hardware store in North Wilkesboro, North Carolina. The Company was incorporated in North Carolina in 1952 and has been publicly held since 1961. The Company’s common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange - ticker symbol “LOW”. For additional information about the Company’s performance and financial condition, see Item 7 , “Management’s…
Risk factors LOW lists in its 10-K
- We may be unable to adapt our business concept in a rapidly evolving retail environment to address the changing shopping habits, demands, and demographics of our customers
- We may not be able to realize the intended benefits of our strategic initiatives focused on providing an omnichannel shopping experience to our customers if we fail to deliver the capabilities required to execute on them
- If we fail to hire, train, manage, and retain qualified associates or corporate support staff with the capabilities of delivering on strategic objectives, our labor costs and results of operations could be negatively impacted
- Failure to achieve and maintain a high level of product and service quality could damage our image with customers, expose us to litigation and negatively impact our sales, profitability, cash flows, and financial condition
- Our sales and profitability depend on our ability to maintain our store base and maintain appropriate levels of inventory and failure to do so may affect our business, financial condition and result of operations
- The execution of initiatives to transform our supply chain network could disrupt our operations in the near term, and these investments might not provide the anticipated benefits
- Our inability to effectively and efficiently manage and maintain our relationships with selected suppliers of both national brand and private branded products could negatively impact our business operations and financial results
- Failure of a key vendor or service provider that we cannot quickly replace could disrupt our operations and negatively impact our business, financial condition, and results of operations
- The failure of customer-facing technology systems to perform effectively and reliably could keep us from delivering positive customer experiences
- We are subject to payments-related risks that could increase our operating costs, expose us to fraud, subject us to potential liability and potentially disrupt our business
- Our growing use of AI and machine learning may present additional risks, including risks associated with algorithm development or use, the tools and data sets used and/or a complex, developing regulatory environment
- Our strategic transactions involve risks, and we may not realize the expected benefits because of numerous uncertainties and risks
- Our sales are dependent upon the health and stability of the general economy
- Adverse changes in macroeconomic factors specific to the home improvement industry have in the past and may in the future negatively impact the rate of growth of our total sales and comparable sales
- Our business has been and could continue to be affected by uncharacteristic or significant weather conditions, as well as other catastrophic events, which could impact our operations
- Our business and operations are subject to risks related to the long-term effects of global climate change
- Our costs of doing business could increase as a result of changes in, expanded enforcement of, or adoption of new international, federal, state or local laws and regulations
- Future litigation or governmental proceedings could result in material adverse consequences, including judgments or settlements, negatively affecting our business, financial condition, and results of operations
- The inflation or deflation of commodity and other prices could affect our prices, demand for our products, and our sales