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Home Depot (HD)

Consumer Discretionary · $353B market cap · SEC CIK 0000354950

$351.00 ▼−0.68% on the day close of Nov 10, 2026
24 Screens poorly
ahead of 24% of the S&P 500 · #37 of 48 in Consumer Discretionary

Next reports on Nov 17, 2026, before the open, with analysts expecting $3.95 in earnings per share.

52-week range $277.15 to $397.63. 12% below its 52-week high and 27% above its low.

The case for HD

The case against

What the score is made of

Each factor is half a curve over reported figures and half a rank among the other Consumer Discretionary companies (momentum is judged against fixed thresholds only), and the five are blended by weight. The score is where that blend places it in the S&P 500. It describes the last filing and the current price. It is not a forecast.

Valuewhat you pay for the earnings and cash, against the growth you get29
Growthhow fast revenue and earnings are moving, this year and over five27
Profitabilityhow much of the revenue becomes profit, and how much of that is cash59
Momentumhow the price has behaved lately51
Stabilityhow violently it moves, what it owes and what it pays you69

The financials

Revenue growth

Is the business growing? Slowly

Last 12 months+2.5%
Over 5 years+4.5% a year
FY2025 revenue$165B (+3%)

Free cash flow

Is it generating real cash? Yes

FY2025 free cash flow$12.6B
Of revenue8%
Of profit89%

Profit margins

Is profitability improving? Holding steady

Gross margin33%
Operating margin12%
Net margin, FY24 → FY25 → now9.3% → 8.6% → 8.4%

Debt vs. cash

Is the balance sheet healthy? Mostly, with some debt to carry

Cash$1.4B
Long-term debt$49.4B
Net debt$48.0B
Years to repay3.0 yrs

Valuation

Is the stock price reasonable? No, expensive

P/E24.8×
Fair P/E for its growth17×
P/FCF27.9×
Forward P/E21.0×
EV / EBITDA16.5×

At 24.8× earnings it trades above the 17× that 4% a year of growth plus a 2.7% dividend would justify. At 27.9× free cash flow it trades well above that same mark.

The financials, five years deep

Pulled from Home Depot's XBRL filings on SEC EDGAR. Italic rows are worked out from the others.

FY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022FY2021
Revenue growth
Revenue$165B$160B$153B$157B$151B
Change on the year+3%+4%−3%+4%—
Free cash flow
Free cash flow$12.6B$16.3B$17.9B$11.5B$14.0B
Of revenue8%10%12%7%9%
Profit margins
Gross margin33.3%33.4%33.4%33.5%33.6%
Operating margin12.7%13.5%14.2%15.3%15.2%
Net margin8.6%9.3%9.9%10.9%10.9%
Debt vs. cash
Cash$1.4B$1.7B$3.8B$2.8B$2.3B
Long-term debt$49.4B$51.4B$42.1B$41.1B$36.4B
Net cash (debt)−$48.0B−$49.7B−$38.4B−$38.4B−$34.1B

What Home Depot says it does

INTRODUCTION The Home Depot, Inc. is the world’s largest home improvement retailer based on net sales for fiscal 2025. We offer our customers a wide assortment of home improvement products, building materials, lawn and garden products, décor products, and facilities MRO products, in stores and online. We also provide a number of services, including home improvement installation services, and tool and equipment rental. As of the end of fiscal 2025, we o perated 2,359 stor es located throughout the U.S. (including the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico and the territories of the U.S. Virgin Islands and Guam), Canada, and Mexico. The Home Depot stores average approximately 104,000 square feet of enclosed space, with approximately 24,000 additional square feet of outside garden area. We also maintain a network of distribution and fulfillment centers, as well as mobile applications and e-commerce websites in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico. For…

Risk factors HD lists in its 10-K

Filings

Open HD in the deck

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