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CSX Corporation (CSX)

Industrials · $94.0B market cap · SEC CIK 0000277948

$51.08 ▲+1.19% on the day close of Nov 10, 2026
37 Screens poorly
ahead of 37% of the S&P 500 · #48 of 79 in Industrials

Next reports on Jan 20, 2027, after the close, with analysts expecting $0.53 in earnings per share.

52-week range $33.63 to $53.60. 5% below its 52-week high and 52% above its low.

The case for CSX

The case against

What the score is made of

Each factor is half a curve over reported figures and half a rank among the other Industrials companies (momentum is judged against fixed thresholds only), and the five are blended by weight. The score is where that blend places it in the S&P 500. It describes the last filing and the current price. It is not a forecast.

Valuewhat you pay for the earnings and cash, against the growth you get20
Growthhow fast revenue and earnings are moving, this year and over five50
Profitabilityhow much of the revenue becomes profit, and how much of that is cash75
Momentumhow the price has behaved lately72
Stabilityhow violently it moves, what it owes and what it pays you39

The financials

Revenue growth

Is the business growing? Slowly

Last 12 months+5.8%
Over 5 years+5.9% a year
FY2025 revenue$14.1B (−3%)

Free cash flow

Is it generating real cash? Yes

FY2025 free cash flow$1.7B
Of revenue12%
Of profit59%

Profit margins

Is profitability improving? Holding steady

Gross margin72%
Operating margin36%
Net margin, FY24 → FY25 → now23.9% → 20.5% → 24.0%

Debt vs. cash

Is the balance sheet healthy? Mostly, with some debt to carry

Cash$670M
Long-term debt$18.2B
Net debt$17.5B
Years to repay3.9 yrs

Valuation

Is the stock price reasonable? No, expensive

P/E26.3×
Fair P/E for its growth18×
P/FCF55.0×
Forward P/E22.7×
EV / EBITDA15.8×

At 26.3× earnings it trades above the 18× that 6% a year of growth plus a 1.3% dividend would justify. At 55.0× free cash flow it trades well above that same mark.

The financials, five years deep

Pulled from CSX Corporation's XBRL filings on SEC EDGAR. Italic rows are worked out from the others.

FY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022FY2021
Revenue growth
Revenue$14.1B$14.5B$14.7B$14.9B$12.5B
Change on the year−3%−1%−1%+19%—
Free cash flow
Free cash flow$1.7B$2.7B$3.3B$3.4B$3.3B
Of revenue12%19%22%23%26%
Profit margins
Operating margin32.1%36.1%37.5%40.1%44.7%
Net margin20.5%23.9%25.0%27.7%30.2%
Debt vs. cash
Cash$670M$933M$1.4B$2.0B$2.2B
Long-term debt$18.2B$17.9B$18.0B$17.9B$16.2B
Net cash (debt)−$17.5B−$17.0B−$16.6B−$15.9B−$13.9B

What CSX Corporation says it does

CSX Corporation, together with its subsidiaries ("CSX" or the “Company”), based in Jacksonville, Florida, is one of the nation's leading transportation companies. The Company provides rail-based freight transportation services including traditional rail service, the transport of intermodal containers and trailers, as well as other transportation services such as rail-to-truck transfers and bulk commodity operations. CSX and the rail industry provide customers with access to an expansive and interconnected transportation network that plays a key role in North American commerce and is critical to the long-term economic success and improved global competitiveness of the United States. In addition, freight railroads provide the most economical and environmentally efficient means to transport goods over land. CSX Transportation, Inc. CSX’s principal operating subsidiary, CSX Transportation, Inc. (“CSXT”), provides an important link to the…

Risk factors CSX lists in its 10-K

Filings

Open CSX in the deck

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