Domino's (DPZ)
Consumer Discretionary · $11.0B market cap · SEC CIK 0001286681
ahead of 26% of the S&P 500 · #36 of 48 in Consumer Discretionary
Next reports on Feb 22, 2027, after the close, with analysts expecting $6.44 in earnings per share.
52-week range $282.00 to $442.35. 25% below its 52-week high and 17% above its low.
The case for DPZ
- Earns 34% a year on everything it owns (return on assets).
- Pays a modest 1.3% dividend.
The case against
- Owes more than it owns: shareholder equity is −$3.9B, usually the result of buybacks funded with debt. ROE and price-to-book mean little here.
- Current liabilities exceed current assets (ratio 0.49).
- Growth is weak (35/100): revenue +4.5%, EPS +6.1%, +3.7% a year over five years.
- The price trend is weak (31/100): −18.5% over a year, −3.9% over three months, 25% below its 52-week high.
- Trailed the S&P 500 by 31 points over the past year.
What the score is made of
Each factor is half a curve over reported figures and half a rank among the other Consumer Discretionary companies (momentum is judged against fixed thresholds only), and the five are blended by weight. The score is where that blend places it in the S&P 500. It describes the last filing and the current price. It is not a forecast.
| Valuewhat you pay for the earnings and cash, against the growth you get | 53 |
|---|---|
| Growthhow fast revenue and earnings are moving, this year and over five | 35 |
| Profitabilityhow much of the revenue becomes profit, and how much of that is cash | 70 |
| Momentumhow the price has behaved lately | 31 |
| Stabilityhow violently it moves, what it owes and what it pays you | 38 |
- Shareholder equity is negative, so return on equity, price-to-book and debt-to-equity are left out.
- Each factor except momentum is half fixed thresholds, half rank among the 48 Consumer Discretionary companies.
The financials
Revenue growth
Is the business growing? Slowly
| Last 12 months | +4.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 5 years | +3.7% a year |
| FY2025 revenue | $4.9B (+5%) |
Free cash flow
Is it generating real cash? Yes
| FY2025 free cash flow | $672M |
|---|---|
| Of revenue | 14% |
| Of profit | 112% |
Profit margins
Is profitability improving? Holding steady
| Gross margin | 40% |
|---|---|
| Operating margin | 20% |
| Net margin, FY24 → FY25 → now | 12.4% → 12.2% → 12.0% |
Debt vs. cash
Is the balance sheet healthy? Yes, more cash than debt
| Cash | $126M |
|---|---|
| Long-term debt | $14.6M |
| Net cash | $111M |
| Years to repay | 0.0 yrs |
Valuation
Is the stock price reasonable? Yes, about fair
| P/E | 18.0× |
|---|---|
| Fair P/E for its growth | 18× |
| P/FCF | 16.4× |
| Forward P/E | 15.4× |
| EV / EBITDA | 14.3× |
At 18.0× earnings it trades close to the 18× that 5% a year of growth plus a 1.3% dividend would justify. At 16.4× free cash flow it trades close to that same mark.
The financials, five years deep
Pulled from Domino's's XBRL filings on SEC EDGAR. Italic rows are worked out from the others.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | |||||
| Revenue | $4.9B | $4.7B | $4.5B | $4.5B | $4.4B |
| Change on the year | +5% | +5% | −1% | +4% | — |
| Free cash flow | |||||
| Free cash flow | $672M | $512M | $485M | $388M | $560M |
| Of revenue | 14% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 13% |
| Profit margins | |||||
| Gross margin | 40.0% | 39.3% | 38.6% | 36.3% | 38.7% |
| Operating margin | 19.3% | 18.7% | 18.3% | 16.9% | 17.9% |
| Net margin | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% |
| Debt vs. cash | |||||
| Cash | $126M | $186M | $114M | $60.4M | $148M |
| Long-term debt | $14.6M | $14.7M | $4.9B | $5.0B | $5.0B |
| Net cash (debt) | $111M | $171M | −$4.8B | −$4.9B | −$4.9B |
What Domino's says it does
Overview Domino’s is the largest pizza company in the world with more than 22,100 locations in over 90 markets around the world as of December 28, 2025, and operates two distinct service models within its stores, with a significant business in both delivery and carryout. We are a highly recognized global brand, and we focus on value while serving neighborhoods locally through our large worldwide network of franchise owners and U.S. Company-owned stores through both the delivery and carryout service models. We have been selling quality, affordable food to our customers since 1960. We became “Domino’s Pizza” in 1965 and opened our first franchised store in 1967. Over the past 65 years, we have built Domino’s into one of the most widely-recognized consumer brands in the world. We believe our commitment to value, convenience, quality and new products continues to keep consumers engaged with the brand. We are primarily a franchisor, with…
Risk factors DPZ lists in its 10-K
- The quick service restaurant (“QSR”) pizza category and the food service and food delivery markets in general are highly competitive and such competition could adversely affect our operating results
- If we fail to successfully implement our growth strategy, which includes opening new stores and generating more sales, our ability to increase our revenues and operating profits could be adversely affected
- Increases in food, labor and other costs, labor shortages or negative economic conditions could adversely affect our profitability and operating results
- Shortages, interruptions or disruptions in the supply or delivery of fresh food products and store equipment could adversely affect our operating results
- The food service market is affected by consumer preferences and perceptions. Changes in these preferences and perceptions may reduce the demand for our products, which would reduce sales and harm our business
- Reports of product contamination, food-borne illness or food tampering or other events which may impact our reputation may reduce sales and harm our business
- We do not have long-term contracts with certain of our suppliers, or have contracts which are set to expire, and as a result they could seek to significantly increase prices or fail to deliver
- Any prolonged disruption in the operations of any of our dough manufacturing and supply chain centers could harm our business
- Our international operations subject us to additional risk. Such risks and costs may differ in each country in which we and our franchisees do business and may cause our profitability to decline due to increased costs
- Our earnings and business growth strategies depend on the success of our franchisees, and we may be harmed by actions taken by our franchisees, or employees of our franchisees, which are outside of our control
- Our success depends in part upon effective advertising, and lower advertising funds may reduce our ability to adequately market the Domino’s Pizza brand
- Loss of key employees or our inability to attract and retain new qualified employees could hurt our business and inhibit our ability to operate and grow successfully
- We may not be able to adequately protect our intellectual property, which could harm the value of our brand and branded products and adversely affect our business
- We are subject to a variety of additional risks associated with our franchise system and franchisees
- Our current insurance coverage may not be adequate, insurance premiums for such coverage may increase and we may not be able to obtain insurance at acceptable rates, or at all
- Environmental, social and governance matters may impact our business and reputation
- Our substantial indebtedness could adversely affect our business and limit our ability to plan for or respond to changes in our business
- Downgrades in our credit ratings could impact our ability to access capital and materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations
- We may be unable to generate sufficient cash flow to satisfy our significant debt service obligations, which would adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations
- Fluctuations in value of the U.S. dollar in relation to other currencies may lead to lower revenues and earnings