Generac (GNRC)
Industrials · $11.1B market cap · SEC CIK 0001474735
ahead of 2% of the S&P 500 · #77 of 79 in Industrials
Next reports on Feb 9, 2027, after the close, with analysts expecting $2.65 in earnings per share.
52-week range $134.80 to $296.44. 39% below its 52-week high and 35% above its low.
The case for GNRC
- Has compounded revenue at 11.1% a year over five years.
- Current assets cover the near-term bills 2.0 times over.
The case against
- Expensive for its growth: 43.1× earnings, where 0% a year of growth would justify about 8×.
- Earnings per share down 25.6%.
- Swings harder than the market (beta 1.93).
- Revenue was flat on the year (+0.6%).
- Net margin of 6% is thinner than 85% of Industrials companies.
- Return on equity of 10% is lower than 95% of Industrials companies.
What the score is made of
Each factor is half a curve over reported figures and half a rank among the other Industrials companies (momentum is judged against fixed thresholds only), and the five are blended by weight. The score is where that blend places it in the S&P 500. It describes the last filing and the current price. It is not a forecast.
| Valuewhat you pay for the earnings and cash, against the growth you get | 3 |
|---|---|
| Growthhow fast revenue and earnings are moving, this year and over five | 23 |
| Profitabilityhow much of the revenue becomes profit, and how much of that is cash | 33 |
| Momentumhow the price has behaved lately | 45 |
| Stabilityhow violently it moves, what it owes and what it pays you | 25 |
- Each factor except momentum is half fixed thresholds, half rank among the 79 Industrials companies.
The financials
Revenue growth
Is the business growing? No, flat
| Last 12 months | +0.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 5 years | +11.1% a year |
| FY2025 revenue | $4.2B (−2%) |
Free cash flow
Is it generating real cash? Yes
| FY2025 free cash flow | $268M |
|---|---|
| Of revenue | 6% |
| Of profit | 168% |
Profit margins
Is profitability improving? No, slipping
| Gross margin | 40% |
|---|---|
| Operating margin | 9% |
| Net margin, FY24 → FY25 → now | 7.4% → 3.8% → 5.8% |
Debt vs. cash
Is the balance sheet healthy? Yes, the debt is manageable
| Cash | $341M |
|---|---|
| Long-term debt | $1.2B |
| Net debt | $852M |
| Years to repay | 2.7 yrs |
Valuation
Is the stock price reasonable? No, expensive
| P/E | 43.1× |
|---|---|
| Fair P/E for its growth | 8× |
| P/FCF | 41.5× |
| Forward P/E | 18.5× |
| EV / EBITDA | 23.5× |
At 43.1× earnings it trades well above the 8× that 0% a year of growth would justify. At 41.5× free cash flow it trades well above that same mark.
The financials, five years deep
Pulled from Generac's XBRL filings on SEC EDGAR. Italic rows are worked out from the others.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | |||||
| Revenue | $4.2B | $4.3B | $4.0B | $4.6B | $3.7B |
| Change on the year | −2% | +7% | −12% | +22% | — |
| Free cash flow | |||||
| Free cash flow | $268M | $605M | $393M | −$27.7M | $301M |
| Of revenue | 6% | 14% | 10% | −1% | 8% |
| Profit margins | |||||
| Gross margin | 38.3% | 38.8% | 33.9% | 33.3% | 36.4% |
| Operating margin | 6.9% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 19.3% |
| Net margin | 3.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 14.7% |
| Debt vs. cash | |||||
| Cash | $341M | $281M | $201M | $133M | $147M |
| Long-term debt | $1.2B | $1.2B | $1.4B | $1.4B | $882M |
| Net cash (debt) | −$852M | −$930M | −$1.2B | −$1.2B | −$735M |
What Generac says it does
Overview Founded in 1959, Generac is a leading global designer, manufacturer, and provider of a wide range of energy technology solutions. Generac provides power generation equipment, energy storage systems, energy management devices & solutions, and other power products and services serving the residential, commercial, data center, telecom, rental, and industrial markets. The Company’s broad portfolio of energy technology offerings for homes and businesses enables its mission to Power a Smarter World and lead the evolution to more resilient, efficient, and innovative energy solutions. We have a long history of providing power generation products across a variety of applications, and we maintain one of the leading positions in the North American market for power equipment with an expanding presence internationally. We believe we have one of the widest ranges of products in the power generation marketplace, including residential,…
Risk factors GNRC lists in its 10-K
- Demand for the majority of our products is significantly affected by unpredictable power outage activity that can lead to substantial variations in, and uncertainties regarding, our financial results from period to period
- Decreases in the availability and quality, or increases in the cost, of raw materials, key components and labor we use to make our products could materially reduce our earnings
- Our business could be negatively impacted if we fail to adequately protect our intellectual property rights or if third parties claim that we are in violation of their intellectual property rights
- We may incur costs and liabilities as a result of product liability, warranty claims, recalls, or other claims
- The risk of non-compliance with U.S. and foreign laws and regulations applicable to our global operations could have a significant impact on our results of operations, financial condition or strategic objectives
- If we fail to develop new products or enhance existing products, or our customers do not accept the new or enhanced products we develop, our revenue and profitability could be adversely impacted
- rowth of the data center market is difficult to project and may not be sustaining, and we may not be successful in achieving our growth, revenue, or profitability objectives in the future related to it
- Demand for our products is significantly affected by durable goods spending by consumers and businesses, and other macroeconomic conditions
- The industries in which we compete are highly competitive, and our failure to compete successfully could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition
- Increased scrutiny regarding our sustainability practices and reporting could impact our reputation
- The loss of any key members of our senior management team or key employees could disrupt our operations and harm our business
- Disruptions caused by labor disputes or organized labor activities could harm our business
- Our business and operations can be adversely affected by our ability to attract, motivate, develop, and retain our employees
- We may experience material disruptions to our manufacturing operations
- Changes in U.S. trade policy, including the imposition of new or increased tariffs and the resulting consequences, could have an adverse effect on our results of operations
- A significant portion of our purchased components are sourced in foreign countries, exposing us to additional risks that may not exist in the United States
- We are subject to a variety of litigation and other legal and regulatory proceedings in the course of our business that could adversely affect our business, financial position or our results of operations
- Our operations are subject to various environmental, health and safety laws and regulations, and non-compliance with or liabilities under such laws and regulations could result in substantial costs, fines, sanctions and claims
- Our products are subject to government regulation
- Failures or security breaches of our networks or information technology systems could have an adverse effect on our business
- We have indebtedness which could adversely affect our cash flow and our ability to make payments on our indebtedness
- The terms of our credit facilities restrict our current and future operations, particularly our ability to respond to changes in our business or to take certain actions
- We may need additional capital to finance our growth strategy or to refinance our existing credit facilities, and we may not be able to obtain it on acceptable terms, or at all, which may limit ou
- Our total assets include a substantial amount of goodwill and other indefinite-lived intangibles. If we determine these have become impaired,
- net income could be materially adversely affected
- The market price of our common stock may be volatile or may decline regardless of our operating performance
- Our business is subject to potential tax liabilities