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Nike (NKE)

Consumer Discretionary · $57.6B market cap · SEC CIK 0000320187

$38.67 ▼−3.03% on the day close of Nov 10, 2026
4 Screens badly
ahead of 4% of the S&P 500 · #45 of 48 in Consumer Discretionary

Next reports on Dec 16, 2026, after the close, with analysts expecting $0.38 in earnings per share.

52-week range $31.97 to $69.14. 44% below its 52-week high and 21% above its low.

The case for NKE

The case against

What the score is made of

Each factor is half a curve over reported figures and half a rank among the other Consumer Discretionary companies (momentum is judged against fixed thresholds only), and the five are blended by weight. The score is where that blend places it in the S&P 500. It describes the last filing and the current price. It is not a forecast.

Valuewhat you pay for the earnings and cash, against the growth you get20
Growthhow fast revenue and earnings are moving, this year and over five17
Profitabilityhow much of the revenue becomes profit, and how much of that is cash44
Momentumhow the price has behaved lately23
Stabilityhow violently it moves, what it owes and what it pays you60

The financials

Revenue growth

Is the business growing? No, flat

Last 12 months−1.2%
Over 5 years+0.8% a year
FY2026 revenue$46.4B (0%)

Free cash flow

Is it generating real cash? A little

FY2026 free cash flow$2.2B
Of revenue5%
Of profit70%

Profit margins

Is profitability improving? Holding steady

Gross margin43%
Operating margin8%
Net margin, FY25 → FY26 → now7.0% → 6.7% → 6.7%

Debt vs. cash

Is the balance sheet healthy? Yes, more cash than debt

Cash$7.6B
Long-term debt$5.9B
Net cash$1.6B
Years to repay2.1 yrs

Valuation

Is the stock price reasonable? No, expensive

P/E18.6×
Fair P/E for its growth10×
P/FCF26.4×
Forward P/E29.4×
EV / EBITDA13.0×

At 18.6× earnings it trades well above the 10× that 0% a year of growth plus a 1.4% dividend would justify. At 26.4× free cash flow it trades well above that same mark.

The financials, five years deep

Pulled from Nike's XBRL filings on SEC EDGAR. Italic rows are worked out from the others.

FY2026FY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue growth
Revenue$46.4B$46.3B$51.4B$51.2B$46.7B
Change on the year0%−10%0%+10%—
Free cash flow
Free cash flow$2.2B$3.3B$6.6B$4.9B$4.4B
Of revenue5%7%13%10%9%
Profit margins
Gross margin42.9%42.7%44.6%43.5%46.0%
Net margin6.7%7.0%11.1%9.9%12.9%
Debt vs. cash
Cash$7.6B$7.5B$9.9B$7.4B$8.6B
Long-term debt$5.9B$8.0B$7.9B$8.9B$8.9B
Net cash (debt)$1.6B−$497M$2.0B−$1.5B−$346M

What Nike says it does

NIKE, Inc. was incorporated in 1967 under the laws of the State of Oregon. As used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K (this "Annual Report"), the terms "we," "us," "our," "NIKE" and the "Company" refer to NIKE, Inc. and its predecessors, subsidiaries and affiliates, collectively, unless the context indicates otherwise. Our principal business activity is the design, development and worldwide marketing and selling of athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, accessories and services. NIKE is the largest seller of athletic footwear and apparel in the world. We sell our products through NIKE Direct operations, which are comprised of both NIKE-owned retail stores and sales through our digital platforms (also referred to as "NIKE Brand Digital") and to wholesale accounts, which include a mix of independent distributors, licensees and sales representatives in nearly all countries around the world. We also offer interactive consumer services and…

Risk factors NKE lists in its 10-K

Filings

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