Pool Corporation (POOL)
Consumer Discretionary · $7.9B market cap · SEC CIK 0000945841
ahead of 21% of the S&P 500 · #39 of 48 in Consumer Discretionary
Next reports on Feb 17, 2027, before the open, with analysts expecting $0.76 in earnings per share.
52-week range $152.70 to $278.17. 22% below its 52-week high and 42% above its low.
The case for POOL
- Earns 32% back on shareholder equity.
- Current assets cover the near-term bills 2.7 times over.
- Pays a modest 1.2% dividend.
The case against
- Value is weak (33/100): 19.7× earnings against a fair 16× for its growth, 1.5× sales, 3.9% free-cash yield.
- Long-term debt of $1.2B against $105M of cash.
- Trailed the S&P 500 by 24 points over the past year.
- Revenue grew only 2.2%, roughly the pace of inflation.
What the score is made of
Each factor is half a curve over reported figures and half a rank among the other Consumer Discretionary companies (momentum is judged against fixed thresholds only), and the five are blended by weight. The score is where that blend places it in the S&P 500. It describes the last filing and the current price. It is not a forecast.
| Valuewhat you pay for the earnings and cash, against the growth you get | 33 |
|---|---|
| Growthhow fast revenue and earnings are moving, this year and over five | 34 |
| Profitabilityhow much of the revenue becomes profit, and how much of that is cash | 48 |
| Momentumhow the price has behaved lately | 52 |
| Stabilityhow violently it moves, what it owes and what it pays you | 58 |
- Each factor except momentum is half fixed thresholds, half rank among the 48 Consumer Discretionary companies.
The financials
Revenue growth
Is the business growing? Slowly
| Last 12 months | +2.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 5 years | +6.1% a year |
| FY2025 revenue | $5.3B (0%) |
Free cash flow
Is it generating real cash? Yes
| FY2025 free cash flow | $310M |
|---|---|
| Of revenue | 6% |
| Of profit | 76% |
Profit margins
Is profitability improving? Holding steady
| Gross margin | 30% |
|---|---|
| Operating margin | 11% |
| Net margin, FY24 → FY25 → now | 8.2% → 7.7% → 7.4% |
Debt vs. cash
Is the balance sheet healthy? Mostly, with some debt to carry
| Cash | $105M |
|---|---|
| Long-term debt | $1.2B |
| Net debt | $1.1B |
| Years to repay | 3.2 yrs |
Valuation
Is the stock price reasonable? A bit pricey
| P/E | 19.7× |
|---|---|
| Fair P/E for its growth | 16× |
| P/FCF | 25.5× |
| Forward P/E | 18.0× |
| EV / EBITDA | 14.7× |
At 19.7× earnings it trades above the 16× that 4% a year of growth plus a 1.2% dividend would justify. At 25.5× free cash flow it trades above that same mark.
The financials, five years deep
Pulled from Pool Corporation's XBRL filings on SEC EDGAR. Italic rows are worked out from the others.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | |||||
| Revenue | $5.3B | $5.3B | $5.5B | $6.2B | $5.3B |
| Change on the year | 0% | −4% | −10% | +17% | — |
| Free cash flow | |||||
| Free cash flow | $310M | $600M | $828M | $441M | $276M |
| Of revenue | 6% | 11% | 15% | 7% | 5% |
| Profit margins | |||||
| Gross margin | 29.7% | 29.7% | 30.0% | 31.3% | 30.5% |
| Operating margin | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 16.6% | 15.7% |
| Net margin | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 12.3% |
| Debt vs. cash | |||||
| Cash | $105M | $77.9M | $66.5M | $45.6M | $24.3M |
| Long-term debt | $1.2B | $901M | $1.0B | $1.4B | $1.2B |
| Net cash (debt) | −$1.1B | −$823M | −$949M | −$1.3B | −$1.1B |
Risk factors POOL lists in its 10-K
- The demand for our products may be adversely affected by unfavorable economic conditions and changes in discretionary consumer spending
- Catastrophic events or societal unrest could adversely impact our operations
- We are susceptible to adverse weather conditions, which could intensify as a result of changing climate patterns
- Our distribution business is highly dependent on our ability to maintain favorable and stable relationships with suppliers
- Failure to achieve and maintain a high level of product and service quality and safety could damage our reputation, expose us to litigation and negatively impact our financial performance
- We face intense competition both from within our industry and from other leisure product alternatives
- More aggressive competition by store- and internet-based mass merchants and large pool or irrigation supply retailers could adversely affect our sales
- We depend on our ability to attract, develop and retain highly qualified personnel
- Past growth may not be indicative of future growth
- We are subject to inventory management risks. Insufficient inventory may result in lost sales opportunities or delayed revenue, while excess inventory may negatively impact our gross margin
- Changes in our customer base or customer preferences could change the mix of products we sell and reduce our profitability
- We use AI in our business, which could result in reputational harm, competitive harm and legal liability, and adversely affect our business, results of operation and financial condition
- Governmental actions designed to address changing climate patterns or the failure to comply with climate-related and other sustainability requirements could adversely affect our business and increase our costs of doing business
- We handle and store chemicals, fertilizers and other combustible materials that involve fire, safety and casualty risks
- We conduct business internationally, which exposes us to additional risks
- Changes in import policy or trade relations, interruptions in our supply chain or increased commodity or supply chain costs could adversely affect our results of operations
- Excess tax benefits or deficiencies recognized from our accounting for share-based awards impact our reported earnings
- Improvements to Employee Share-Based Payment Accounting
- The cost of servicing our debt could reduce our profitability if interest rates increase or remain at elevated levels
- Changes in tax laws and accounting standards related to tax matters have caused, and may in the future cause, fluctuations in our effective tax rate
- We cannot assure you we will continue paying dividends or repurchasing shares at the current rates, or at all
- Lapses in our disclosure controls and procedures or internal control over financial reporting could materially and adversely affect us