Fox Corporation (Class A) (FOXA)
Communication Services · $26.5B market cap · SEC CIK 0001754301
ahead of 47% of the S&P 500 · #9 of 19 in Communication Services
Next reports on Feb 2, 2027, with analysts expecting $0.89 in earnings per share.
52-week range $48.34 to $76.39. 12% below its 52-week high and 39% above its low.
The case for FOXA
- Revenue growing 9.0% year over year.
- Reasonably priced for its growth: 13.1× earnings, where 5% a year of growth plus a 1.7% dividend would justify about 19×.
- Return on equity of 18%.
- Moves less than the market (beta 0.63).
- Current assets cover the near-term bills 3.8 times over.
- Pays a modest 1.7% dividend.
The case against
- Its weakest area is growth (47/100): revenue +9.0%, EPS +6.4%, +5.8% a year over five years.
What the score is made of
Each factor is half a curve over reported figures and half a rank among the other Communication Services companies (momentum is judged against fixed thresholds only), and the five are blended by weight. The score is where that blend places it in the S&P 500. It describes the last filing and the current price. It is not a forecast.
| Valuewhat you pay for the earnings and cash, against the growth you get | 53 |
|---|---|
| Growthhow fast revenue and earnings are moving, this year and over five | 47 |
| Profitabilityhow much of the revenue becomes profit, and how much of that is cash | 63 |
| Momentumhow the price has behaved lately | 61 |
| Stabilityhow violently it moves, what it owes and what it pays you | 50 |
- Each factor except momentum is half fixed thresholds, half rank among the 19 Communication Services companies.
The financials
Revenue growth
Is the business growing? Yes
| Last 12 months | +9.0% |
|---|---|
| Over 5 years | +5.8% a year |
| FY2026 revenue | $17.1B (+5%) |
Free cash flow
Is it generating real cash? Yes
| FY2026 free cash flow | $1.5B |
|---|---|
| Of revenue | 9% |
| Of profit | 85% |
Profit margins
Is profitability improving? No, slipping
| Gross margin | 38% |
|---|---|
| Operating margin | 22% |
| Net margin, FY25 → FY26 → now | 14.1% → 10.1% → 11.3% |
Debt vs. cash
Is the balance sheet healthy? Mostly, with some debt to carry
| Cash | $4.2B |
|---|---|
| Long-term debt | $6.6B |
| Net debt | $2.4B |
| Years to repay | 3.4 yrs |
Valuation
Is the stock price reasonable? Yes, about fair
| P/E | 13.1× |
|---|---|
| Fair P/E for its growth | 19× |
| P/FCF | 18.1× |
| Forward P/E | 10.7× |
| EV / EBITDA | 6.6× |
At 13.1× earnings it trades below the 19× that 5% a year of growth plus a 1.7% dividend would justify. At 18.1× free cash flow it trades close to that same mark.
The financials, five years deep
Pulled from Fox Corporation (Class A)'s XBRL filings on SEC EDGAR. Italic rows are worked out from the others.
| FY2026 | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | |||||
| Revenue | $17.1B | $16.3B | $14.0B | $14.9B | $14.0B |
| Change on the year | +5% | +17% | −6% | +7% | — |
| Free cash flow | |||||
| Free cash flow | $1.5B | $3.0B | $1.5B | $1.4B | $1.6B |
| Of revenue | 9% | 18% | 11% | 10% | 11% |
| Profit margins | |||||
| Net margin | 10.1% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% |
| Debt vs. cash | |||||
| Cash | $4.2B | $5.4B | $4.3B | $4.3B | $5.2B |
| Long-term debt | $6.6B | $6.6B | $6.6B | $6.0B | $7.2B |
| Net cash (debt) | −$2.4B | −$1.3B | −$2.3B | −$1.7B | −$2.0B |
What Fox Corporation (Class A) says it does
Background The Company is a news, sports and entertainment company, which manages and reports its businesses in four operating segments: Cable Network Programming, Television, Credible and the FOX Studio Lot with the following two reportable segments: • Cable Network Programming , which produces and licenses news and sports content distributed through traditional cable television systems, direct broadcast satellite operators and telecommunication companies (“traditional MVPDs”), virtual multi-channel video programming distributors (“virtual MVPDs”) and other digital platforms, primarily in the U.S. • Television , which produces, acquires, markets and distributes programming through the FOX broadcast network, advertising-supported video-on-demand (“AVOD”) service Tubi, 29 full power broadcast television stations, including 11 duopolies, and other digital platforms, primarily in the U.S. Eighteen of the broadcast television stations are…
Risk factors FOXA lists in its 10-K
- The Roku Transaction may not be completed or may be delayed if the closing conditions in the Merger Agreement are not satisfied, and the Merger Agreement may be terminated in accordance with its terms
- Entry into the Merger Agreement could have a variety of negative impacts on FOX and the market prices of the Common Stock
- Business uncertainties and contractual restrictions on FOX while the Merger is pending could adversely affect FOX’s business and operations
- The market price of the Common Stock may decline as a result of the Merger
- The Company or its Board of Directors may be the target of Merger-related lawsuits that result in substantial costs or delay or prevent the completion of the Merger
- The Company may be unable to successfully integrate the businesses of FOX and Roku and realize the anticipated benefits of the Merger
- FOX’s post-Merger indebtedness may have a significant negative impact on its business, financial condition or results of operations
- If the number of subscribers to MVPD services continues to decline or such declines accelerate, the Company’s distribution and advertising revenues could be negatively affected
- The Company is exposed to risks associated with weak economic conditions and increased volatility and disruption in the financial markets
- The Company operates in a rapidly evolving and highly competitive industry
- Acceptance of the Company's content by the public is difficult to predict, which could lead to fluctuations in or adverse impacts on revenues
- Our business depends on the popularity of special sports events and the continued popularity of the sports leagues and teams for which we have programming rights
- Damage to our brands, particularly the FOX brand, or our reputation could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition or results of operations
- The loss of key personnel, including talent, could disrupt the management or operations of the Company’s business and adversely affect its revenues
- Labor disputes may disrupt our operations and adversely affect the Company’s business, financial condition or results of operations
- The Company has recognized, and could continue to recognize, asset impairment charges for goodwill, intangible assets, programming and other assets and investments
- Technological developments may increase the threat of content piracy and signal theft and limit the Company’s ability to protect its intellectual property rights
- The Company is subject to complex laws, regulations, rules, industry standards and contractual obligations related to privacy and personal data protection, which are evolving, inconsistent and potentially costly
- Changes in laws and regulations, or the interpretation or enforcement thereof, may have an adverse effect on the Company’s business, financial condition or results of operations
- The Communications Act and FCC regulations limit the ability of non-U.S. citizens and certain other persons to invest in us
- The Company could be subject to significant tax liabilities
- Unfavorable litigation or governmental investigation results could require us to pay significant amounts or lead to onerous operating procedures