Packaging Corporation of America (PKG)

Materials · $22.7B market cap · SEC CIK 0000075677

Next reports on Jan 25, 2027, after the close, with analysts expecting $2.84 in earnings per share.

52-week range $191.50 to $262.59. 3% below its 52-week high and 33% above its low.

The case for PKG

• Revenue growing 12.0% year over year.
• Pays a 3.2% dividend while you wait.
• Moves less than the market (beta 0.79).
• Current assets cover the near-term bills 2.9 times over.

The case against

• Long-term debt of $4.0B against $529M of cash.
• Weakest against its peers: price/sales of 2.3× is higher than 64% of Materials companies.

What the score is made of

Each factor is half a curve over reported figures and half a rank among the other Materials companies (momentum is judged against fixed thresholds only), and the five are blended by weight. The score is where that blend places it in the S&P 500. It describes the last filing and the current price. It is not a forecast.

• Its profits follow commodity prices, so its earnings and margin are read as half the latest year and half the average of the years on file (5), and last year's change in earnings per share is not counted as growth.
• Each factor except momentum is half fixed thresholds, half rank among the 26 Materials companies.

The financials

The financials, five years deep

Pulled from Packaging Corporation of America's XBRL filings on SEC EDGAR. Italic rows are worked out from the others.

What Packaging Corporation of America says it does

3 Packaging 4 Paper 7 Corporate and Other 8 Human Capital 8 Regulatory and Environmental Matters 9 Executive Officers of the Registrant

Risk factors PKG lists in its 10-K

• General Economic Conditions – A deterioration in general economic conditions may harm our business, results of operations, cash flows, and financial position
• Industry Cyclicality – Changes in the prices of our products could materially affect our financial condition, results of operations, and liquidity
• Competition – The intensity of competition in the industries in which we operate could result in downward pressure on pricing and volume, which could lower earnings and operating cash flows
• Cost of Fiber – An increase in the cost of fiber could increase our manufacturing costs and lower our earnings
• Cost of Purchased Fuels and Chemicals – An increase in the cost of purchased fuels and chemicals could lead to higher manufacturing costs, resulting in reduced earnings
• Customer Concentration – We rely on certain large customers
• Transportation Costs – Reduced truck and rail availability could lead to higher costs or poorer service, resulting in lower earnings, and harm our ability to distribute our products
• Extreme Weather Events – Our facilities are susceptible to extreme weather events, which could disrupt our business
• ESG – We may not achieve or make satisfactory progress on our goals and targets to reduce emissions and satisfy other ESG metrics
• – We may fail to attract and retain qualified personnel, including key management personnel
• Cybersecurity – Risks related to security breaches of company, customer, employee, and vendor information, as well as the technology that manages our operations and other business processes, could adversely affect our business
• Environmental Matters – PCA may incur significant environmental liabilities with respect to both past and future operations
• Labor Relations – If we experience strikes or other work stoppages, our business will be harmed
• Acquisition Integration – The business may underperform relative to our expectations, and we may not be able to successfully integrate the business into our existing business
• Inflation and Other General Cost Increases – We may not be able to offset higher costs
• Debt obligations – Our debt service obligations may reduce our operating flexibility
• Pension Plans – Our pension plans may require additional funding
• - The market price of our common stock may be volatile, which could cause the value of the stock to decline

Filings

Other Materials companies