Allegion (ALLE)
Industrials · $16.1B market cap · SEC CIK 0001579241
ahead of 90% of the S&P 500 · #3 of 79 in Industrials
Next reports on Feb 15, 2027, after the close, with analysts expecting $2.36 in earnings per share.
52-week range $125.00 to $195.42. 3% below its 52-week high and 52% above its low.
The case for ALLE
- Earns 33% back on shareholder equity.
- Generated $686M of free cash flow in FY2025, 17% of revenue.
- Revenue growing 10.3% year over year.
- Pays a modest 1.7% dividend.
- Within 3% of its 52-week high: the trend is up.
The case against
- Long-term debt of $2.0B against $356M of cash.
- Weakest against its peers: price/sales of 3.7× is higher than 55% of Industrials companies.
What the score is made of
Each factor is half a curve over reported figures and half a rank among the other Industrials companies (momentum is judged against fixed thresholds only), and the five are blended by weight. The score is where that blend places it in the S&P 500. It describes the last filing and the current price. It is not a forecast.
| Valuewhat you pay for the earnings and cash, against the growth you get | 68 |
|---|---|
| Growthhow fast revenue and earnings are moving, this year and over five | 62 |
| Profitabilityhow much of the revenue becomes profit, and how much of that is cash | 74 |
| Momentumhow the price has behaved lately | 75 |
| Stabilityhow violently it moves, what it owes and what it pays you | 64 |
- Each factor except momentum is half fixed thresholds, half rank among the 79 Industrials companies.
The financials
Revenue growth
Is the business growing? Yes
| Last 12 months | +10.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 5 years | +8.4% a year |
| FY2025 revenue | $4.1B (+8%) |
Free cash flow
Is it generating real cash? Yes, plenty
| FY2025 free cash flow | $686M |
|---|---|
| Of revenue | 17% |
| Of profit | 107% |
Profit margins
Is profitability improving? Holding steady
| Gross margin | 45% |
|---|---|
| Operating margin | 21% |
| Net margin, FY24 → FY25 → now | 15.8% → 15.8% → 15.7% |
Debt vs. cash
Is the balance sheet healthy? Yes, the debt is manageable
| Cash | $356M |
|---|---|
| Long-term debt | $2.0B |
| Net debt | $1.6B |
| Years to repay | 2.5 yrs |
Valuation
Is the stock price reasonable? Yes, about fair
| P/E | 23.2× |
|---|---|
| Fair P/E for its growth | 28× |
| P/FCF | 23.4× |
| Forward P/E | 18.7× |
| EV / EBITDA | 16.4× |
At 23.2× earnings it trades below the 28× that 12% a year of growth plus a 1.7% dividend would justify. At 23.4× free cash flow it trades below that same mark.
The financials, five years deep
Pulled from Allegion's XBRL filings on SEC EDGAR. Italic rows are worked out from the others.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | |||||
| Revenue | $4.1B | $3.8B | $3.7B | $3.3B | $2.9B |
| Change on the year | +8% | +3% | +12% | +14% | — |
| Free cash flow | |||||
| Free cash flow | $686M | $583M | $516M | $396M | $443M |
| Of revenue | 17% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 15% |
| Profit margins | |||||
| Operating margin | 21.1% | 20.7% | 19.4% | 17.9% | 18.5% |
| Net margin | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 16.8% |
| Debt vs. cash | |||||
| Cash | $356M | $504M | $468M | $288M | $398M |
| Long-term debt | $2.0B | $2.0B | $1.6B | $2.1B | $1.4B |
| Net cash (debt) | −$1.6B | −$1.5B | −$1.1B | −$1.8B | −$1.0B |
What Allegion says it does
Overview Allegion plc ("Allegion," "we," "us" or "the Company") is a leading global provider of security products and solutions that keep people and assets safe and secure in the places they live, learn, work and connect. We pioneer safety and security to create a safer and more accessible world. Both developing and partnering are central to our work to create ecosystems that enable seamless access experiences and an uninterrupted and secure flow of people and assets. We offer an extensive and versatile portfolio of security and access control products and solutions across a range of market-leading brands. Our experts around the world deliver high-quality hardware, software, services and systems, and we use our deep expertise to serve as trusted partners to end-users who seek customized solutions to their security needs. We offer the following extensive and versatile portfolio of security and access control products and solutions…
Risk factors ALLE lists in its 10-K
- Our business performance is impacted by the strength of the institutional, commercial and residential construction and remodeling markets and global macroeconomic factors
- Increased prices, whether due to inflationary pressures or other factors, could negatively impact our margin performance and our financial results
- Our global operations subject us to political, economic and regulatory risks, including uncertainty related to the imposition of new or increased tariffs and the global trade environment more generally
- Currency exchange rate fluctuations have had, and may continue to have, an adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows
- We may be required to recognize impairment charges for our goodwill, indefinite-lived intangible assets and other long-lived assets
- The capital and credit markets are important to our business
- There are risks associated with our outstanding and future indebtedness
- Increased competition, including from technological developments, could adversely affect our business
- Our growth is dependent, in part, on the development, commercialization and acceptance of new products and services
- Changes in customer and consumer preferences and the inability to maintain beneficial relationships with large customers could adversely affect our business
- We may pursue business opportunities that diverge from our core business
- Our strategic initiatives, including enterprise excellence efforts among other significant capital expenditure projects, may not achieve the improvements or financial returns we expect
- We may not be able to effectively manage and implement restructuring initiatives or other organizational changes
- The effects of global climate change or other unexpected events, including global health crises, may disrupt our operations and have a negative impact on our business
- We may be subject to risks relating to systems failures or disruptions to our information technology and operational technology systems
- Cybersecurity incidents could disrupt business operations, result in the loss of critical and confidential information, and adversely impact the Company's reputation, operating results, and financial condition
- We are exposed to risks related to compliance with data privacy and governance laws
- Our ability to successfully grow and expand our business depends on our ability to recruit and retain a highly qualified and diverse workforce
- Disruptions in our global supply chain, including product manufacturing and logistical services provided by our supplier partners, may negatively impact our business
- We are subject to risks related to corporate social responsibility and reputational matters
- Our brands are important assets of our businesses, and violation of our trademark rights by imitators could negatively impact revenues and brand reputation
- Material legal judgments, fines, penalties or settlements imposed against us or our assets could adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows
- Allegations that we have infringed the intellectual property rights of third parties could negatively affect us
- Our reputation, ability to do business and results of operations could be impaired by improper conduct by any of our employees, agents or business partners
- Our operations are subject to regulatory risks related to domestic and international, environmental, health and safety laws
- As a global business, we have a relatively complex tax structure, and there is a risk that tax authorities will disagree with our tax positions
- We could be subject to changes in tax rates, the adoption of new tax legislation or exposure to additional tax liabilities
- The implementation of global tax reforms could negatively impact our financial results
- Irish law differs from the laws in effect in the United States and may afford less protection to holders of our securities
- Dividends received by our shareholders may be subject to Irish dividend withholding tax
- Certain provisions in our Memorandum and Articles of Association, among other things, could prevent or delay an acquisition of us, which could decrease the trading price of our ordinary shares