StockOrNot
Open the deck

FedEx (FDX)

Industrials · $74.7B market cap · SEC CIK 0001048911

$319.48 ▲+0.20% on the day close of Nov 10, 2026
29 Screens poorly
ahead of 29% of the S&P 500 · #58 of 79 in Industrials

Next reports on Dec 16, 2026, with analysts expecting $5.30 in earnings per share.

52-week range $204.42 to $345.37. 7% below its 52-week high and 56% above its low.

The case for FDX

The case against

What the score is made of

Each factor is half a curve over reported figures and half a rank among the other Industrials companies (momentum is judged against fixed thresholds only), and the five are blended by weight. The score is where that blend places it in the S&P 500. It describes the last filing and the current price. It is not a forecast.

Valuewhat you pay for the earnings and cash, against the growth you get53
Growthhow fast revenue and earnings are moving, this year and over five30
Profitabilityhow much of the revenue becomes profit, and how much of that is cash47
Momentumhow the price has behaved lately71
Stabilityhow violently it moves, what it owes and what it pays you48

The financials

Revenue growth

Is the business growing? No, shrinking

Last 12 months−10.1%
Over 5 years+2.4% a year
FY2026 revenue$94.7B (+8%)

Free cash flow

Is it generating real cash? Yes

FY2026 free cash flow$5.1B
Of revenue5%
Of profit115%

Profit margins

Is profitability improving? Yes, improving

Gross margin60%
Operating margin6%
Net margin, FY25 → FY26 → now4.7% → 4.7% → 10.0%

Debt vs. cash

Is the balance sheet healthy? Yes, the debt is manageable

Cash$13.3B
Long-term debt$23.3B
Net debt$10.0B
Years to repay2.6 yrs

Valuation

Is the stock price reasonable? Yes, about fair

P/E9.4×
Fair P/E for its growth11×
P/FCF14.6×
Forward P/E15.3×
EV / EBITDA8.4×

At 9.4× earnings it trades close to the 11× that 0% a year of growth plus a 2.0% dividend would justify. At 14.6× free cash flow it trades above that same mark.

The financials, five years deep

Pulled from FedEx's XBRL filings on SEC EDGAR. Italic rows are worked out from the others.

FY2026FY2025FY2024FY2023FY2022
Revenue growth
Revenue$94.7B$87.9B$87.7B$90.2B$93.5B
Change on the year+8%0%−3%−4%—
Free cash flow
Free cash flow$5.1B$3.0B$3.1B$2.7B$3.1B
Of revenue5%3%4%3%3%
Profit margins
Operating margin5.8%5.9%6.3%5.4%6.7%
Net margin4.7%4.7%4.9%4.4%4.1%
Debt vs. cash
Cash$13.3B$5.5B$6.5B$6.9B$6.9B
Long-term debt$23.3B$19.2B$19.8B$19.8B$19.8B
Net cash (debt)−$10.0B−$13.6B−$13.3B−$12.9B−$12.9B

What FedEx says it does

” and “ Item 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Results of Operations and Financial Condition ” of this Annual Report for more information. There can be no assurance that the Federal Express and legacy FedEx Ground businesses and networks, which historically operated separately and independently, can successfully be fully integrated as planned. Additionally, it is possible that the business and network integration and optimization process could result in higher-than-currently-expected costs, less-than-expected savings, the loss of customers, the disruption of ongoing businesses, union organizing, litigation, legal disputes with service providers, governmental agency challenges, the loss of key employees or service providers, or other unexpected issues. It is also possible that the overall process will take longer than currently anticipated. Additionally, the following issues, among others, must be addressed in order to realize…

Risk factors FDX lists in its 10-K

Filings

Open FDX in the deck

Other Industrials companies

GEGE AerospaceRTXRTX CorporationCATCaterpillarGEVGE VernovaDEDeere & CompanyUNPUnion Pacific CorporationUBERUberETNEatonLMTLockheed MartinBABoeingPHParker HannifinADPAutomatic Data Processing