Procter & Gamble (PG)
Consumer Staples · $393B market cap · SEC CIK 0000080424
ahead of 78% of the S&P 500 · #8 of 36 in Consumer Staples
Next reports on Jan 20, 2027, before the open, with analysts expecting $1.87 in earnings per share.
52-week range $137.62 to $170.52. 1% below its 52-week high and 23% above its low.
The case for PG
- Earns 30% back on shareholder equity.
- Generated $15.1B of free cash flow in FY2026, 17% of revenue.
- Moves less than the market (beta 0.33).
- Pays a modest 2.5% dividend.
- Within 1% of its 52-week high: the trend is up.
The case against
- Pricey for its growth: 24.5× earnings, where 3% a year of growth plus a 2.5% dividend would justify about 17×.
- Current liabilities exceed current assets (ratio 0.72).
- Growth is weak (39/100): revenue +3.5%, EPS −3.1%, +2.7% a year over five years.
- Price/sales of 4.5× is higher than 89% of Consumer Staples companies.
What the score is made of
Each factor is half a curve over reported figures and half a rank among the other Consumer Staples companies (momentum is judged against fixed thresholds only), and the five are blended by weight. The score is where that blend places it in the S&P 500. It describes the last filing and the current price. It is not a forecast.
| Valuewhat you pay for the earnings and cash, against the growth you get | 42 |
|---|---|
| Growthhow fast revenue and earnings are moving, this year and over five | 39 |
| Profitabilityhow much of the revenue becomes profit, and how much of that is cash | 78 |
| Momentumhow the price has behaved lately | 79 |
| Stabilityhow violently it moves, what it owes and what it pays you | 89 |
- Each factor except momentum is half fixed thresholds, half rank among the 36 Consumer Staples companies.
The financials
Revenue growth
Is the business growing? Slowly
| Last 12 months | +3.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 5 years | +2.7% a year |
| FY2026 revenue | $87.0B (+3%) |
Free cash flow
Is it generating real cash? Yes, plenty
| FY2026 free cash flow | $15.1B |
|---|---|
| Of revenue | 17% |
| Of profit | 94% |
Profit margins
Is profitability improving? Holding steady
| Gross margin | 50% |
|---|---|
| Operating margin | 23% |
| Net margin, FY25 → FY26 → now | 19.0% → 18.4% → 18.2% |
Debt vs. cash
Is the balance sheet healthy? Yes, the debt is manageable
| Cash | $9.9B |
|---|---|
| Long-term debt | $22.8B |
| Net debt | $12.9B |
| Years to repay | 1.2 yrs |
Valuation
Is the stock price reasonable? No, expensive
| P/E | 24.5× |
|---|---|
| Fair P/E for its growth | 17× |
| P/FCF | 26.0× |
| Forward P/E | 22.7× |
| EV / EBITDA | 17.9× |
At 24.5× earnings it trades above the 17× that 3% a year of growth plus a 2.5% dividend would justify. At 26.0× free cash flow it trades above that same mark.
The financials, five years deep
Pulled from Procter & Gamble's XBRL filings on SEC EDGAR. Italic rows are worked out from the others.
| FY2026 | FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | |||||
| Revenue | $87.0B | $84.3B | $84.0B | $82.0B | $80.2B |
| Change on the year | +3% | 0% | +2% | +2% | — |
| Free cash flow | |||||
| Free cash flow | $15.1B | $14.0B | $16.5B | $13.8B | $13.6B |
| Of revenue | 17% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 17% |
| Profit margins | |||||
| Operating margin | 22.7% | 24.3% | 22.1% | 22.1% | 22.2% |
| Net margin | 18.4% | 19.0% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 18.4% |
| Debt vs. cash | |||||
| Cash | $9.9B | $9.6B | $9.5B | $8.2B | $7.2B |
| Long-term debt | $22.8B | $25.0B | $25.3B | $24.4B | $22.8B |
| Net cash (debt) | −$12.9B | −$15.4B | −$15.8B | −$16.1B | −$15.6B |
What Procter & Gamble says it does
The Procter & Gamble Company (the Company) is a world-leading multinational consumer goods company focused on providing trusted, branded products of superior quality, performance and value to improve the lives of consumers around the world - now and for generations to come. Our products are sold in about 180 countries and territories throughout the world. The Company was incorporated in Ohio in 1905, having first been established as a New Jersey corporation in 1890, and was built from a business founded in Cincinnati in 1837 by William Procter and James Gamble. Additional information required by this item is incorporated herein by reference to Management's Discussion and Analysis (MD&A); and Notes 1 and 2 to our Consolidated Financial Statements. Unless the context indicates otherwise, the terms "Company," "P&G," "we," "our" or "us" as used herein refer to The Procter & Gamble Company (the registrant) and its subsidiaries. Throughout…
Risk factors PG lists in its 10-K
- Our business is subject to numerous risks as a result of having significant operations and sales in international markets, including foreign currency fluctuations, currency exchange or pricing controls
- Uncertain economic or social conditions may adversely impact demand for our products or cause our customers and other business partners to suffer financial hardship, which could adversely impact our business
- Changing political and geopolitical conditions could adversely impact our business and financial results
- Disruptions in credit markets or to our banking partners or changes to our credit ratings may reduce our access to credit or overall liquidity
- Our business results depend on our ability to manage disruptions in our global supply chain
- Our businesses face cost fluctuations and pressures that could affect our results
- The ability to achieve our business objectives depends on how well we can compete with our local and global competitors in new and existing markets and channels
- A significant change in customer relationships or in customer demand for our products could have a significant impact on our business
- If the reputation of the Company or one or more of our brands erodes significantly, it could have a material impact on our financial results
- We rely on third parties in many aspects of our business, which creates additional risk
- We must successfully manage ongoing acquisition, joint venture and divestiture activities
- Our business results depend on our ability to successfully manage productivity improvements and ongoing organizational change, including attracting, developing and retaining key talent as part of our overall succession planning
- We must successfully manage compliance with current and expanding laws and regulations, as well as manage new and pending legal and regulatory matters in the U.S. and abroad
- Changes in applicable tax laws and regulations and resolutions of tax disputes could negatively affect our financial results