PepsiCo (PEP)
Consumer Staples · $196B market cap · SEC CIK 0000077476
ahead of 80% of the S&P 500 · #6 of 36 in Consumer Staples
Next reports on Feb 1, 2027, after the close, with analysts expecting $2.26 in earnings per share.
52-week range $123.47 to $171.48. 16% below its 52-week high and 16% above its low.
The case for PEP
- Earns 51% back on shareholder equity.
- Earnings per share up 51.3%.
- Pays a 3.0% dividend while you wait.
- Moves less than the market (beta 0.30).
The case against
- Current liabilities exceed current assets (ratio 0.94).
- Weakest against its peers: free-cash-flow yield of 3.9% is lower than 63% of Consumer Staples companies.
What the score is made of
Each factor is half a curve over reported figures and half a rank among the other Consumer Staples companies (momentum is judged against fixed thresholds only), and the five are blended by weight. The score is where that blend places it in the S&P 500. It describes the last filing and the current price. It is not a forecast.
| Valuewhat you pay for the earnings and cash, against the growth you get | 64 |
|---|---|
| Growthhow fast revenue and earnings are moving, this year and over five | 67 |
| Profitabilityhow much of the revenue becomes profit, and how much of that is cash | 71 |
| Momentumhow the price has behaved lately | 48 |
| Stabilityhow violently it moves, what it owes and what it pays you | 71 |
- Each factor except momentum is half fixed thresholds, half rank among the 36 Consumer Staples companies.
The financials
Revenue growth
Is the business growing? Slowly
| Last 12 months | +6.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 5 years | +5.9% a year |
| FY2025 revenue | $93.9B (+2%) |
Free cash flow
Is it generating real cash? Yes
| FY2025 free cash flow | $7.7B |
|---|---|
| Of revenue | 8% |
| Of profit | 93% |
Profit margins
Is profitability improving? Holding steady
| Gross margin | 54% |
|---|---|
| Operating margin | 15% |
| Net margin, FY24 → FY25 → now | 10.4% → 8.8% → 11.1% |
Debt vs. cash
Is the balance sheet healthy? Mostly, with some debt to carry
| Cash | $9.2B |
|---|---|
| Long-term debt | $42.3B |
| Net debt | $33.2B |
| Years to repay | 3.5 yrs |
Valuation
Is the stock price reasonable? Yes, about fair
| P/E | 18.0× |
|---|---|
| Fair P/E for its growth | 20× |
| P/FCF | 25.5× |
| Forward P/E | 16.1× |
| EV / EBITDA | 12.8× |
At 18.0× earnings it trades close to the 20× that 5% a year of growth plus a 3.0% dividend would justify. At 25.5× free cash flow it trades above that same mark.
The financials, five years deep
Pulled from PepsiCo's XBRL filings on SEC EDGAR. Italic rows are worked out from the others.
| FY2025 | FY2024 | FY2023 | FY2022 | FY2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | |||||
| Revenue | $93.9B | $91.9B | $91.5B | $86.4B | $79.5B |
| Change on the year | +2% | 0% | +6% | +9% | — |
| Free cash flow | |||||
| Free cash flow | $7.7B | $7.2B | $7.9B | $5.6B | $7.0B |
| Of revenue | 8% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 9% |
| Profit margins | |||||
| Gross margin | 54.1% | 54.6% | 54.2% | 53.0% | 53.3% |
| Operating margin | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 14.0% |
| Net margin | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% |
| Debt vs. cash | |||||
| Cash | $9.2B | $8.5B | $9.7B | $5.0B | $5.6B |
| Long-term debt | $42.3B | $37.2B | $37.6B | $35.7B | $36.0B |
| Net cash (debt) | −$33.2B | −$28.7B | −$27.9B | −$30.7B | −$30.4B |
What PepsiCo says it does
When used in this report, the terms “we,” “us,” “our,” “PepsiCo” and the “Company” mean PepsiCo, Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries, collectively. Certain terms used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K are defined in the Glossary included in Item 7. of this report. Company Overview We were incorporated in Delaware in 1919 and reincorporated in North Carolina in 1986. We are a leading global beverage and convenient food company with a complementary portfolio of brands, including Lay’s, Doritos, Cheetos, Gatorade, Pepsi-Cola, Mountain Dew, Quaker and SodaStream. Through our operations, authorized bottlers, contract manufacturers and other third parties, we make, market, distribute and sell a wide variety of beverages and convenient foods, serving customers and consumers in more than 200 countries and territories. Our Operations We are organized into six reportable segments, as follows: 1) PepsiCo Foods North America (PFNA), which…
Risk factors PEP lists in its 10-K
- Reduction in future demand for our products would adversely affect our business
- Damage to our reputation or brand image can adversely affect our business
- Product recalls or other issues or concerns with respect to product quality and safety can adversely affect our business
- Any inability to compete effectively can adversely affect our business
- Failure to attract, develop and maintain a highly skilled workforce or effectively manage changes in our workforce can have an adverse effect on our business
- Water scarcity can adversely affect our business
- Changes in the retail landscape or in sales to any key customer can adversely affect our business
- Disruption of our manufacturing operations or supply chain, including increased commodity, packaging, transportation, labor and other input costs, can adversely affect our business
- Political, social and geopolitical conditions can adversely affect our business
- Our business can be adversely affected if we are unable to grow in developing and emerging markets
- Changes in economic conditions can adversely impact our business
- Future cyber incidents and other disruptions to our information systems can adversely affect our business
- Failure to successfully complete or manage strategic transactions can adversely affect our business
- Our reliance on third-party service providers and enterprise-wide systems can have an adverse effect on our business
- Climate change or measures to address climate change and other sustainability matters can negatively affect our business or damage our reputation
- Strikes or work stoppages can cause our business to suffer
- Failure to realize benefits from our productivity initiatives or organizational restructurings can adversely affect our financial performance
- A deterioration in our estimates and underlying assumptions regarding the future performance of our business or investments can result in impairment charges that adversely affect our results of operations
- Fluctuations in exchange rates impact our financial performance
- Our borrowing costs and access to capital and credit markets can be adversely affected by a downgrade or potential downgrade of our credit ratings
- Taxes aimed at our products can adversely affect our business or financial performance
- Limitations on the marketing or sale of our products can adversely affect our business and financial performance
- Laws and regulations related to the use or disposal of plastics or other packaging materials can adversely affect our business and financial performance
- Failure to comply with personal data protection and privacy laws can adversely affect our business
- Increases in income tax rates, changes in income tax laws or disagreements with tax authorities can adversely affect our financial performance
- If we are unable to adequately protect our intellectual property rights, or if we are found to infringe on the intellectual property rights of others, our business can be adversely affected
- Failure to comply with laws and regulations applicable to our business can adversely affect our business
- Potential liabilities and costs from litigation, claims, legal or regulatory proceedings, inquiries or investigations can have an adverse impact on our business