Dollar Tree (DLTR)

Consumer Staples · $25.7B market cap · SEC CIK 0000935703

Next reports on Dec 1, 2026, with analysts expecting $0.92 in earnings per share.

52-week range $85.88 to $148.54. 5% below its 52-week high and 64% above its low.

The case for DLTR

• Revenue up 48.1% on the year.
• Earns 46% back on shareholder equity.
• Earnings per share up 197.3%.
• Reasonably priced for its growth: 16.0× earnings, where 12% a year of growth would justify about 26×.
• Moves less than the market (beta 0.68).

The case against

• Revenue has shrunk 5.3% a year over five years.
• Weakest against its peers: free-cash-flow yield of 4.1% is lower than 60% of Consumer Staples companies.

What the score is made of

Each factor is half a curve over reported figures and half a rank among the other Consumer Staples companies (momentum is judged against fixed thresholds only), and the five are blended by weight. The score is where that blend places it in the S&P 500. It describes the last filing and the current price. It is not a forecast.

• Each factor except momentum is half fixed thresholds, half rank among the 36 Consumer Staples companies.

The financials

The financials, five years deep

Pulled from Dollar Tree's XBRL filings on SEC EDGAR. Italic rows are worked out from the others.

What Dollar Tree says it does

” for further discussion of the effect of competition on our operations. Our business is seasonal, and adverse events during the fourth quarter could materially affect our full-year financial results. Our highest sales periods are during the Christmas and Easter seasons, and we generally realize a disproportionate amount of our net sales and our operating and net income during the fourth quarter. In anticipation, we stock extra inventory and hire many temporary employees to prepare our stores and help ship product from our distribution centers. Lead times for seasonal product purchases are longer and could result in inventory markdowns if sales do not meet expectations. Adverse events such as inclement 14 Table of Contents weather or unfavorable economic conditions during the fourth quarter could cause a reduction in sales during these periods, which in turn could adversely affect our operating results, particularly operating and net…

Risk factors DLTR lists in its 10-K

• Compensation, benefits and well-being
• Store and Distribution Center Associates
• Our profitability is vulnerable to cost pressures from increases in merchandise, shipping, freight and fuel, wages, benefits and other operating costs
• Risks associated with merchandise supply could adversely affect our financial performance
• Higher costs and disruptions in our supply chain could have an adverse impact on our sales and profitability
• Efficient operations and management
• Vulnerability to natural or man-made disasters, including climate change
• Our growth is dependent on our ability to increase sales in existing stores
• Our growth is dependent on our ability to expand our square footage profitably
• Our sales and profitability are affected by our product assortment and customer response to the mix of products we sell
• Changes in economic conditions or consumer spending habits could impact our sales or profitability
• We face significant pressure from competitors which may reduce our sales and profits
• Our business is seasonal, and adverse events during the fourth quarter could materially affect our full-year financial results
• Failure to protect our inventory or other assets from loss and theft may impact our financial results
• We may stop selling or recall certain products for safety-related or other issues
• We could experience a decline in consumer confidence and spending because of concerns about the quality and safety of our products or our brand standards
• We have risks related to the security of our facilities including risks of personal injury to customers or associates
• Our business could be adversely affected if we fail to manage our organizational talent and capacity, including attracting and retaining qualified associates and key personnel
• We rely on third parties in many aspects of our business, which creates additional risk
• We may not be successful in executing important strategic initiatives, which may have an adverse impact on our business and financial results
• We may not achieve the anticipated benefits of the sale of the Family Dollar business
• We could incur losses due to impairment of goodwill and other long-lived assets
• We make estimates and assumptions in connection with the preparation of our consolidated financial statements, and any changes to those estimates and assumptions could adversely affect our results of operations
• For additional discussion of the company’s cybersecurity posture, including risk management and governance, please see “
• We use, and may over time increase the usage of, artificial intelligence and machine learning in our business, and challenges with properly managing its use could adversely affect our business
• Legal and Regulatory Risks and Related Considerations
• Our failure to comply with applicable law, or to adequately respond to changes to such laws, could increase our expenses, expose us to legal risks or otherwise adversely affect us
• Our business is subject to evolving disclosure requirements and expectations with respect to social, environmental, and similar matters that could expose us to numerous risks
• Our inability to access credit or capital markets, a downgrade of our credit ratings and/or increases in interest rates could negatively affect our financing costs, results of operations and financial condition
• Our business or the value of our common stock could be negatively affected as a result of actions by shareholders
• The price of our common stock is subject to market and other conditions and may be volatile
• Certain provisions in our Articles of Incorporation and By-Laws could delay or discourage a change of control transaction that may be in a shareholder’s best interest

Filings

Other Consumer Staples companies